Prediction Market Edge

Source

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Market	YES	NO	Volume	Load

Trade

Manual

Market

Buy side

Entry price

Cents for the selected side.

Fair YES Slippage

Added to entry price in cents.

Sizing mode

Contracts Max spend

No fee

Fee preset Custom fee

Cents per contract. Rebates can be negative.

Bankroll Kelly scale Max stake

Percent of bankroll.

Thesis notes

Live

Interesting edge Net edge is positive after the current fee and slippage assumptions.

+0.0cNet edge

$0.00Total EV

0.0%EV / cost

42.0%Implied side

51.0%Fair side

42.0%Breakeven

$42.00Cash outlay

10.0%Full Kelly

$20 / 47Suggested

If YES wins Gross payout less entry and fees

$0.00

If NO wins Entry and fees are lost

$0.00

Contracts evaluated Based on selected sizing mode

100